A Proposal for a Scarborough ALRT Line

Table A12: Scarborough ALRT “Wye”

 

Sheppard/ Yonge - Sheppard/Don Mills Subway Conversion

 Don Mills/ Sheppard to Scarborough RT Link

Scarborough RT refurbishment

Scarborough RT extension McCowan - Sheppard (Malvern)

TOTAL Complete Scarborough Wye Scheme

Route km

5.5

6.5

6.5

3.5

22

New route km

0

6.5

0

3.5

10

Underground km

0

0

0

0

0

Underground stations

0

0

0

0

0

Surface or elevated stations

0

3

0

2

5

Road lane km lost

0

0

0

0

0

ALRT Cars

30

30

30

10

100

Infrastructure Capital Cost $m NPV

 $ -100

 $ -700

 $ -200

 $ -500

 $ -1,500

Rolling Stock Capital cost $m NPV

 $ -126

 $ -126

 $ -126

 $ -42

 $ -420

Operating Costs (incremental) $m NPV

 $ 253

 $ -334

 $ -

 $ -184

 $ -265

Bus costs reduced $m

 $ -

 $ 207

 $ -

 $ 207

 $ 414

TOTAL COSTS NPV

 $ 27

 $ -953

 $ -326

 $ -519

 $ -1,771

Total daily riders 2023

50,000

80,000

40,000

20,000

190,000

New daily riders 2023

 

 

 

 

70,600

Incremental revenues $m NPV

 

 

 

 

 $ 974

NET FINANCIAL EFFECT $m NPV

 

 

 

 

 $ -796

Road user benefits $m NPV

 

 

 

 

 $ 2,436

Road user dis-benefits $m NPV

 

 

 

 

 $ -

Passenger Benefits $m NPV

 

 

 

 

 $ 1,722

TOTAL BENEFITS $m NPV

 

 

 

 

 $ 5,132

NET BENEFITS $m NPV

 

 

 

 

 $ 3,361

BENEFIT COST RATIO

 

 

 

 

 2.90

Growth to 2033 with complementary policies

 

 

 

 

 2.00

New daily riders 2033

 

 

 

 

141,200

Net cost per new daily rider 2033

 

 

 

 

 $ -5,639

Cost per ALRT car $m

 $-4.20

(includes assumed $1m per car penalty for contract change)

 

O&M cost per km - ALRT $m/yr

 $-2.00

 

 

 

 

O&M cost per km - underground LRT $m/yr

 $-1.00

 

 

 

 

O&M cost per underground station $m/yr

 $-1.00

 

 

 

 

O&M saving subway to ALRT $m/yr per km

 $2.00

 

 

 

 

O&M cost per surface or elevated station $m/yr

 $-0.50

 

 

 

 

Average fare per new daily rider

 $2.00

 

 

 

 

Road user benefit per new daily rider

 $5.00

 

 

 

 

Road disbenefit per lane km per day $

 $-1,000.00