GO Relief Services

Table A4: GO Relief Services

 

Danforth/ Main

Bloor/ Dundas W

Kipling/ Bloor

Kennedy/ Eglinton

Capital Cost $m NPV

 $ -100

 $ -10

 $ -10

 $ -50

O&M Cost $m NPV

 $ -32

 $ -25

 $ -50

 $ -52

TOTAL COSTS $m NPV

 $ -132

 $ -35

 $ -60

 $ -102

Riders diverted to GO per day

10,000

5,000

2,500

2,500

GO O&M cost per rider diverted

 $-0.14

 $-0.22

 $-0.87

 $-0.91

New TTC riders per diverted rider

0.50

0.10

0.10

0.50

New daily TTC Riders

5,000

500

250

1,250

Incremental GO revenue per diverted rider

 $-

 $-

 $2.00

 $2.00

Incremental TTC revenue per new rider

 $2.50

 $2.50

 $2.50

 $2.50

Incremental TTC + GO revenue $m NPV

 $ 72

 $ 7

 $ 32

 $ 47

NET FUNDING GAP $m NPV

 $ -61

 $ -28

 $ -28

 $ -56

Net cost per new daily rider

-$12,111

-$55,581

-$110,081

-$44,503

Time savings and decongestion benefit per diverted rider (net of fares)

 $2.00

 $1.00

 $1.00

 $3.00

Time savings and decongestion benefits $m NPV

 $ 115

 $ 29

 $ 14

 $ 43

Road user benefits per new TTC rider

 $2.00

 $1.00

 $1.00

 $3.00

Auto user benefits $m NPV

 $ 58

 $ 3

 $ 1

 $ 22

TOTAL BENEFITS $m NPV

 $ 246

 $ 40

 $ 49

 $ 114

NET BENEFITS $m NPV

 $ 114

 $ 5

 $ -11

 $ 12

Benefit:Cost Ratio

1.86

1.14

0.82

1.12

Annualization factor

250

 

 

 

NPV factor

23

 

 

 

Road benefit per diverted rider

 $5.00

 

 

 

Average TTC fare

 $ 2

 

 

 

 

We estimate costs to operate “relief services” as follows. The “reference case” as set out in Appendix 5 of the GO Electrification Study[1] is an expanded 333-mile (532-km) rail system with 489 train starts per day. This seems to essentially be, the expanded network, with half-hourly all-day service using 10-car push-pull trains. Unfortunately, GO does not provide the total train-km in any of their documents. However, we calculate that it implies 19,022 train-km each weekday on the Lakeshore lines (east and west) (from GO Technical Appendix 5 Table 2), or 4.8 million train-km per year. From GO Technical Appendix 8C, Table 8C-2-D, weekend, holiday and non-revenue train-km are estimated at 35% of the weekday, so the grand total for the Lakeshore routes is 6.4 million train-km. Electricity cost for the Lakeshore routes is estimated in the same table as costing $12.5 million per year, or just under $2 per train-km.

Annual maintenance costs are estimated in Table 8C-1-B at $1.7 million per train per year. GO Technical Appendix 5 Table 3 indicates 37 trains are required to operate the Lakeshore, so each train would operate about 130,000 km per year. Assuming half of maintenance costs are mileage-related, the cost per increment train-km would be $6.53.

GO train crew costs are understood to be about $180 per train hour, although we think this can be reduced to $110, potentially less, with more efficient labour practices.